North Carolina State vs Boston College 10/16/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with North Carolina State winning 48% of simulations, and Boston College 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. North Carolina State commits fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 55% when they take care of the ball. Boston College wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zonovan Knight is averaging 34 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Travis Levy is averaging 110 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (45% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BC +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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